The Pastime

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The Pastime

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  • The Grand Unified Projection: Weighted Pitchers

    And to follow up the pitcher projections, here are the weighted versions of the unified stats. Again, there is little difference between the weighted and unweighted versions, with a few state being adjusted by one tick in one direction or the other. It’s good to know, though.


    Overall Overall Overall Overall Overall # systems
    Name INN BB K WHIP ERA
    Blanton,Joe 190 57 109 1.40 4.43 4
    Braden,Dallas 54 23 38 1.48 4.64 1
    Calero,Kiko 56 20 57 1.23 3.39 4
    Casilla,Santiago 48 22 41 1.43 4.60 3
    Duchscherer,Justin 69 17 57 1.20 3.41 4
    Dunn,Scott 81 40 65 1.47 4.35 2
    Embree,Alan 51 15 41 1.30 4.18 3
    Flores,Ron 48 21 38 1.41 4.12 4
    Gaudin,Chad 94 38 62 1.44 4.37 4
    Halsey,Brad 109 37 61 1.43 4.53 4
    Harden,Rich 132 55 123 1.28 3.53 4
    Haren,Danny 207 49 160 1.27 4.01 4
    Italiano,Craig 81 58 63 1.85 6.24 1
    Kennedy,Joe 64 24 43 1.42 4.23 4
    Kohn,Shawn 72 22 54 1.31 4.19 2
    Komine,Shane 109 40 60 1.49 5.06 3
    Loaiza,Esteban 176 50 111 1.40 4.56 4
    Marshall,Jay 69 18 32 1.39 4.54 2
    McBeth,Marcus 58 29 49 1.48 4.77 3
    Meyer,Dan 81 35 55 1.56 5.55 2
    Muessig,Adam 36 20 31 1.56 4.63 1
    Olsen,Kevin 48 18 22 1.52 5.01 1
    Pettyjohn, Adam 77 30 42 1.49 4.77 1
    Ramirez,Erasmo 53 9 25 1.30 4.58 1
    Ray,Jason 94 74 64 1.87 6.23 1
    Robertson,Connor 63 28 53 1.45 4.18 2
    Saarloos,Kirk 112 44 49 1.56 5.03 4
    Shull,James 98 25 72 1.38 4.79 1
    Street,Huston 67 17 62 1.11 2.88 4
    Tadano,Kazuhito 87 27 59 1.46 5.59 1
    Thompson,Derek 96 54 72 1.55 4.97 1
    Windsor,Jason 144 48 100 1.40 4.44 3
    Witasick,Jay 48 24 40 1.48 4.33 4

    2 Responses to “The Grand Unified Projection: Weighted Pitchers”

    1. Kennedy officially named fifth starter and other news at ConditionOakland.com Says:

      […] Armbrust’s GUWP (Grand Unified Weighted Projection) projects a 4.23 ERA / 1.42 WHIP for Kennedy in 2007, but keep in mind that’s as a reliever. For a fifth starter, Kennedy only needs to pitch as well or better than the dynamic duo of Saarloos/Halsey, who combined for 12 wins and eerily similar ERAs and WHIPs of 4.67/4.75 and 1.63/1.66. That is, of course, providing that Harden stays healthy and pitches better than Zito while hopefully Blanton and Loaiza can improve slightly over last year’s numbers. […]

    2. The Pastime: 2007 Pitching Projections at ConditionOakland.com Says:

      […] UPDATED: Even better, he has now included weighted versions of the same lists, weighing them in accordance with how well each projection system performed in 2006. Weighted Batters Weighted Pitchers […]

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